Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.214484 1.447532 1.692799 1.968412 2.267828 2.581735 2.934210
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.869444 1.185816 1.542072 1.965393 2.447807 2.974390 3.586866
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.652132 0.995670 1.403898 1.909220 2.504245 3.170933 3.963408
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.485186 0.837409 1.279948 1.849763 2.541084 3.333562 4.293044
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.371721 0.725292 1.193733 1.818389 2.595643 3.503369 4.618514
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.304544 0.664585 1.164152 1.849684 2.719784 3.750471 5.030508
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.243658 0.601714 1.123325 1.859829 2.812609 3.956335 5.391014
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.182835 0.526476 1.056592 1.829078 2.848872 4.090034 5.662858
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.166424 0.523411 1.091652 1.933381 3.056017 4.431704 6.183687
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.152769 0.522644 1.128662 2.039560 3.265369 4.776369 6.708889
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.143308 0.528016 1.174090 2.157031 3.489481 5.139771 7.257658
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.136438 0.537195 1.224840 2.281835 3.723451 5.516019 7.822990
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.111583 0.506973 1.216273 2.329173 3.865339 5.790171 8.280836
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.083461 0.461543 1.179642 2.334827 3.952131 5.996795 8.659103
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052344 0.394252 1.098591 2.269724 3.939393 6.074031 8.875090
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029622 0.334073 1.021760 2.205184 3.923280 6.144022 9.079901
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016056 0.290147 0.967681 2.170128 3.943441 6.256912 9.334523
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010156 0.271499 0.959382 2.204848 4.059855 6.493876 9.744304
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.005092 0.247480 0.937359 2.216006 4.142069 6.685793 10.097342
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001226 0.213238 0.889224 2.182048 4.158301 6.790123 10.339127
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000990 0.220532 0.931615 2.297189 4.388615 7.176778 10.939212
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000804 0.228174 0.974915 2.414150 4.622031 7.568166 11.546164
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000756 0.238856 1.025295 2.543265 4.873490 7.984041 12.185059